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Message #1814
Tuesday, August 22, 2006

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  • WEALTHY: Re-thinking a real-estate purchase
  • HEALTHY: The worst way to sweeten your food (Dr. Al Sears)

  • WISE: Marshall McLuhan on making assumptions

ALSO IN THIS ISSUE:

  • Is there a hole in your bucket? (David Cross)

  • Add "factitious" to your vocabulary

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Can't Afford a House in Your Favorite Neighborhood?

By Kam Weiler

I've been trying to find a property to invest in - a house - in one of the more popular downtown neighborhoods of my city for ages. Problem is, I've been unable to find anything that generates enough rent to cover all carrying costs - which, of course, is a deal-breaker.

That's why I was surprised to see an ad in the Sunday paper for what seems to be a great buy. After calling, I learned this isn't a house, but an office condo. The asking price for three offices and a private bathroom is $115,000. The previous tenants paid $1,000 in rent. That's as close to cash flow as I've seen in this neighborhood yet ... especially if I can get the price a little lower and the rent a little higher. (Which remains to be seen.)

Nationally, office vacancies are on the decline and rents are on the rise. I checked into my local market and found that it's been consistently improving here for the past year. (Our Chamber of Commerce publishes the numbers, as do some local commercial real estate brokers.) The local growth rates for population and jobs are also above the national average. This gives me confidence the office condo is an opportunity worth pursuing. It also makes me wonder why I have been limiting my search to houses.

Even if this particular deal doesn't happen, I'm walking away with a valuable lesson: By widening my search to include more types of properties while keeping a strong eye on relative value and cash flow, I may find opportunities to own in areas that might otherwise have been out of reach.

[Ed. Note: Kam Weiler is a contributing editor for Main Street Millionaire, ETR's real estate investment success program.]


"Most of our assumptions have outlived their usefulness."

-Marshall McLuhan

Make Mine Thin-Sliced

By David Cross

My wife strode confidently across the yard from the chicken coop, clutching our sharpest kitchen knife in her hand. A rivulet of red ran down her forearm, and tiny spots flecked her dagger hand. Both her hands were stained crimson, and a solitary feather stuck to her palm.

"Hi, Honey!" she chirped. "I was just seeing whether the new chicks liked strawberries."

Assumptions, I am reminded, are the mother of all screw-ups.
 
The assumptions we make are all about our perceptions and how our brains interpret them. The human brain needs very little information in order to synthesize the bits and pieces available in any given scenario and immediately form a whole picture.

In his book Blink, Malcolm Gladwell calls this ability of ours to evaluate situations very quickly "thin slicing." Apparently, we developed it thousands of years ago. When our distant ancestors hunted and gathered and danger approached, they needed to make the decision - in a split second - whether to fight or flee.

At heart - or, more correctly, "at brain" - we are still hunters on a trail. But a new quarry has replaced the search for food: Information.

The prey has changed, but the way we hunt hasn't. When you're looking for something online, whether through search engines, within an e-mail, or on a website, you are tracking it. You forage, seek, scan, and click for clues that will guide you to the successful completion of your hunt.

You ignore anything that appears irrelevant during your quest, and move on quickly. Very quickly. In fact, usability experts like Jakob Nielsen believe most people spend only a few seconds - 10 to 15 seconds - skim-reading something that looks like it might be useful.

I'm not saying this is a logical approach. There is some research to suggest that once a person is on a trail they think will lead them where they want to go, they will follow that path ... even if it's actually incorrect. They only have to believe it's the correct path. (Remember my chicken example, above.)

Understanding your customers and the assumptions they make will help you create a more user-friendly (and, therefore, more successful) online business. But first, you have to make sure you're not making some incorrect assumptions that are leading you down the wrong path.

People Are Stupid ... Right?

Many Web designers figure that when they put a certain label on a website button, its meaning is obvious. And they assume that if a visitor to the website doesn't understand it, that person must be stupid. But take the example of a button labeled "Programs." Does that mean courses, seminars, or downloadable software?

The problem is that most technical folk are probably not your average customer. What appears obvious to them probably isn't obvious to the people who matter most ... your customers.

This is why, when improving the "usability" (ease of use) of your website, you must strive for simplicity. If anything requires an explanation from a webmaster, Web designer, or technical whiz-kid ("Well, if the user just clicks on the link and then scrolls down ... see, the sign-up link is there. It's so obvious!"), it's probably far from obvious and will confuse the heck out of your website visitors.

A confused website visitor is a bad thing. He'll believe he's on the wrong trail ... and, guess what? He'll bail. He'll exit your website and take his money elsewhere.

There's a Hole in Your Bucket

Businesses spend a lot of time and money driving traffic to their websites, but few consider what the user experience is once they are there. This is akin to collecting water in a leaky bucket.

Don't assume there are no holes in your bucket. Have someone conduct an audit of every aspect of your online business, including your promotional e-mails, website, shopping cart, and order confirmations.

An audit doesn't have to cost much (it can even be free) or take long (one hour can reveal a lot to a trained eye). You don't even have to call it an audit. Call it a "discovery." The main thing is for you to be open to accepting anything you find that may need changing. This means looking through fresh eyes at your existing business. Taking a step back and trying to forget the assumptions you made about what does or does not work. Trying to see what your customers see when they use your website, read your e-mail, buy from your shopping cart, and call your telephone number.

Usability is something you can (and should) measure. Most analytics software - like Google Analytics, WebTrends, and the log analysis software most Web-hosting providers install for you - can easily provide you with usability statistics. This can help you determine the changes that should be made to your online business to make it more successful.

Let's say your goal is to sell $10,000 worth of skateboard helmets a month, and you are currently only at $5,000 a month. You look at the reasons people are leaving your site without purchasing, and it appears that many are bailing during the checkout phase. So you modify the process to make it simpler, to make people feel more secure, or to allow them to complete the transaction in less time.

You continue to make changes to the checkout process - one at a time - and to measure the results. As long as the results are positive, you keep doing it.

This is a worthwhile exercise for any online business. If you meet resistance when you suggest it, simply say, "Why don't we test XYZ and see what happens?" The main thing is to not be tied to a particular way of doing things. Results are what matter, not whether John's or Jane's approach works best.

Remember what I said earlier: Assumptions are the mother of all screw-ups. An audit challenges the assumptions you've made about your online business and compares them to the assumptions your customers are probably making. Ultimately, you want to understand and predict the assumptions your customers make, and do everything you can to make it easy for them to do business with you.

Today's Action Plan: Ask yourself the following questions:

What assumptions have I made about the way I've set up my e-mails, website, purchasing process, and telephone system that are actually quite complex, require explanation, or just plain don't make sense?

How can I improve these things to make it simpler for my customers to do business with me?

Does that animation on my home page help or hurt my goals?

How do my e-mails look in the preview pane in Outlook (where studies suggest 65 percent of people read their e-mail)?

Do my links work in AOL?

Any online business willing to make changes can make significant improvements in its results. I'll explain more about this in my next article ... and I'll tell you how one simple change can double the number of customers buying from your online store. In the meantime, enjoy turning over the stones... and watch out for your assumptions.

[Ed. Note: David Cross is Senior Internet Consultant to Agora Publishing in Baltimore. Meet him in person at ETR's Information Marketing Bootcamp: "Making a Fast Fortune on the Information Revolution." He and other Internet marketing experts will show you how to build and/or dramatically grow your business. Sign up now to reserve your spot.]


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Why HFCS Deserves Its Bad Rap

By Al Sears, MD

The sweetness you taste in many foods comes from corn, not sugar cane. Which means you could be eating a lot of high fructose corn syrup (HFCS) daily. And I'm not just talking about soft drinks and bags of bread or cookies. You'll find the ubiquitous sugary liquid even in yogurt, sports drinks, and herbal teas.

Why is this a big deal? Because HFCS is linked to a variety of health problems.

For example, Dr. George Bray is just one researcher who's found a connection between this artificial sweetener and obesity. And though it's true that HFCS is not the only cause of obesity, it's certainly one of the contributors.

Another researcher, Dr. Meira Field, fed lab rats a diet high in HFCS. The rats experienced significant health problems, including anemia, delayed testicular development, and fatal heart conditions. All of the rats died before reaching adulthood, and their livers resembled those of alcoholics. They were cirrhotic and plugged with fat.

Here are a few ways to avoid HFCS:

  • Drink water or homemade tea instead of soda.
  • As much as possible, avoid pre-packaged products and eat whole, unprocessed foods - in other words, food that grows naturally.
  • When considering pre-packaged products, read the label before you buy.
[Ed. Note: To see how the sugars in your diet stack up, get your free copy of Dr. Sears' Glycemic Index.]

Notes From Nicaragua: Politics and Change

By Michael Masterson

I am in Nicaragua con familia. Once or twice a year, K comes with me. (I invite her every time I come down, but she doesn't like to leave Number Three Son during the school year.)

It's really astonishing how much progress this place has seen in the nine years since I first came here to look for property.

All over the city, new office buildings and shopping malls are springing up. Nicaraguans no longer have to travel to Miami to eat America's most popular fast food. All the biggies are here: McDonald's, Pizza Hut, TGI Friday's, and KFC. You won't find Gucci or Prada stores, but Banana Republic and The Gap can't be far away.

The roads are getting better, too, as crews work day and night to resurface and widen them. The last 17 kilometers before our project in Tola are still unpaved. One of the presidential candidates has promised to pave it if he wins. I'm not much for politics, but if I could vote here, I'd cast my lot with him.

Before the Sandinistas came into power, Nicaragua was one of the wealthiest countries in Latin America. After they got through with their bloodletting and land confiscation, it was the poorest. It has taken Nicaragua 20 years to climb out of the hole the Sandinistas dug. And the way Nicaragua is heading now seems pretty good to me.


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Word to the Wise: Factitious

Something that's "factitious" (fak-TISH-us) is produced artificially rather than by a natural process. The word is derived from the Latin for "to make."

Example (as used by James Miller in Flowers in the Dustbin): "I sensed that it was time to step back, take stock, and try to untangle and think through a series of events, a great many of which I had either undergone with impassioned abandon or been asked to write about with factitious enthusiasm (a constant temptation for cultural critics who are expected to celebrate the new)."

 

Michael Masterson
Copyright ETR, LLC, 2006


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